Only 32% of Studies Predicting Future Will Be True, Study Shows

Drawing of what was once thought to be a precursor to a new age of transportation.

A recent study shows that only about a third of studies that predict future events will turn out to be true. Research, such as to find out how many current kindergartners will reach college, how many people that leave church will never return, and when people will start driving flying cars, is not as reliable as many expect.

The real shock in the results of this investigation was the large number of inaccuracy found in the details of the predictions that actually turn out to be true. There were all sorts of additional factors that had remained unforeseen, even to the key experts in the fields of the studies. Predictions made decades ago that computers would become commonly used by people of all ages failed to point out that such "computers" would actually be our phones. They were completely ignorant of the fact that such phone/computers would be used primarily to play simple games and to view pictures/watch videos of cats.

Dr. Blasius, a professor of sociology at UCLA, listed these findings as "deeply disturbing," but also predicted that future generations of researchers would likely improve these numbers by at least 50%.